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Flanigan'S Enterprises (Flanigan'S Enterprises) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Flanigan'S Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Flanigan'S Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Flanigan'S Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Flanigan'S Enterprises  (AMEX:BDL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Flanigan'S Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Flanigan'S Enterprises (Flanigan'S Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5059 N.E. 18th Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33334
Flanigan'S Enterprises Inc operates as a chain of small cocktail lounges and packages liquor stores throughout South Florida. Its menu consists of a wide variety of options including prime rib, steaks, pasta, entree salads, burgers, a variety of sandwiches, and oversized signature desserts. The business activity is principally conducted in two segments namely Restaurant and Package liquor store segment. Its Restaurant segment offers alcoholic beverages and full food service and Package stores consist of retail liquor sales and related items. The company generates maximum revenue from Restaurant segment.
Executives
E. Mary Bennett director 2168 CENTERVIEW CT N, CLEARWATER FL 33759
Christopher Barry Oneil director 4101 NE 26TH AVENUE, LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33064
August Bucci director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 13078 NORTHWEST 23RD ST, PEMBROKE PINES FL 33028
James Ii Flanigan director, officer: President 5059 NORTHEAST 18TH AVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33334
Jeffrey D Kastner director, officer: CFO & Secretary 5059 N.E. 18TH AVENUE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33334
Christopher Jeff Nelms director 724 SE 17TH TERRACE, DEERFIELD BEACH FL 33441
Michael B Flanigan director 601 OVERLOOK DRIVE, STUART FL 34994
Barbara J Kronk director 9990 N.W. 39TH STREET, HOLLYWOOD FL 33024
Jean Picard officer: VP of Package Operations 8351 NORTHWEST 166TH TERRACE, MIAMI FL 33016
Patrick J Flanigan director 1750 NORTHWEST RIVER TRAIL, STUART FL 34994
Joseph G Flanigan director, officer: Chariman & CEO 6 GATEHOUSE ROAD, SEA RANCH LAKES FL 33308

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